Libertas Veritas ProsperitasQuantitative trading · Event markets

For exchanges & market designers

Liquidity is the product. We help you ship it.

A prediction market with a 12-point spread is a poll nobody trusts. We work with venues to launch contracts with real depth and keep it there, overnight, through the news and into resolution.

3–5×
typical improvement in top-of-book depth in programme markets
≤ 2¢
target spread in liquid contracts between 10¢ and 90¢
99.7%
quote uptime across programme contracts, trailing quarter
< 48h
from listing request to live quotes for standard templates

Programme

What a partnership looks like.

ComponentLaunchCoreStrategic
Two-sided quotes on agreed contractsNew listings, first 30 daysAgreed contract setFull category coverage
Coverage hoursVenue trading hoursExtended + overnight24/7, incl. into resolution
Contract-design reviewPer listingQuarterly template reviewEmbedded in listing process
Market-quality reportingLaunch reportMonthlyMonthly + live dashboard
Research collaboration—On requestJoint publications & data

Terms are agreed individually and subject to venue rules and applicable regulation.

What we look at before we quote a new contract

  • Resolution source. Is it primary, public and timestamped? Can it be revised after the fact?
  • Wording. What happens on postponement, a tie, a recount, a data revision or a disputed result?
  • Tick size and fees. A fee proportional to p(1−p) behaves very differently from a flat fee at the tails.
  • Expiry and settlement. How long between the event and payout, and in what collateral?
  • Related markets. Is the outcome already priced elsewhere, and is the basis knowable?

What venues get back

Depth attracts flow. Tighter spreads lower the cost of expressing a view, which brings in participants who would never cross a wide market. Better prices make the venue's data more quotable by media and more useful to forecasters, and that in turn brings more participants.

Our partners include a top-3 US-regulated event exchange, a leading on-chain prediction market and specialist venues in sport and weather. We are happy to share references under NDA.

Questions

For venues.

What does a venue liquidity programme with LVP include?

Agreed spread and size targets across a set of contracts, coverage hours (typically 24/7 for on-chain venues), pre-listing contract review, and monthly market-quality reporting. Terms are agreed individually with each venue.

Which venues do you work with?

Regulated event exchanges, on-chain prediction markets and specialist venues in sport, weather and economics. We do not disclose specific counterparties without their consent.

Can you help design new contracts?

Yes. Contract design (resolution source, wording, tick size, expiry and fees) has more impact on liquidity than any incentive scheme. We are glad to review drafts before listing.

Do you work with forecasting platforms and data providers?

Yes. We license selected probability data and collaborate with forecasting and data partners where it improves market quality. Use the contact form and choose ‘Research collaboration’.

Contact

Launching a market, or need depth on an existing one?

Tell us about the venue, the contracts and the timeline. A partner from the venue team will reply within two business days.

Talk to the venue team